Carbon intensity and policy uncertainties (EGPU, ESGUI & CPU) in sustainable development for China

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dc.contributor.authorOngan, Serdar
dc.contributor.authorİmamoğlu, İlyas Kays
dc.contributor.authorAydın, Buket
dc.date.issued2026
dc.departmentBayburt Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractReducing carbon emissions is crucial for achieving sustainable development goals (SDGs). However, existing literature primarily examines carbon intensity through technical and economic factors, while the influence of policy and governance uncertainties is often overlooked. This research aims to examine the effects of three different uncertainty indicators—climate policy uncertainty (CPU), newly created sustainability uncertainty (ESGUI), and environmental governance policy uncertainty (EGPU) indices —and renewable energy generation (REN) on carbon intensity in the case of China. Fourier ARDL and Fourier Toda-Yamamoto methods are applied with quarterly data for 2015Q1–2023Q4. The findings reveal that EGPU increases carbon intensity, while CPU, ESGUI, and REN have a decreasing effect. The increasing impact of EGPU indicates that environmental policies may be rendered ineffective due to institutional weaknesses and implementation uncertainties. These results show that carbon intensity is directly related not only to energy policies but also to the quality of governance and the nature of policy uncertainties.
dc.identifier.dergipark1971715
dc.identifier.doi10.58251/ekonomi.1971715
dc.identifier.endpage70
dc.identifier.issn2687-2390
dc.identifier.issue1
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0969-4710
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7732-4148
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6204-0505
dc.identifier.startpage57
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.58251/ekonomi.1971715
dc.identifier.volume8
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherCem IŞIK
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Ekonomi
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Ulusal Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_DergiPark_20260820
dc.subjectESGUI
dc.subjectEGPU
dc.subjectCPU
dc.subjectRenewable Energy
dc.subjectCarbon Intensity
dc.subjectChina
dc.titleCarbon intensity and policy uncertainties (EGPU, ESGUI & CPU) in sustainable development for China
dc.typeArticle

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