Turkey's Long-Term Electricity Consumption Forecast

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dc.contributor.authorEmec, S.
dc.contributor.authorAkkaya, G.
dc.date.accessioned2024-10-04T18:54:05Z
dc.date.available2024-10-04T18:54:05Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.departmentBayburt Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractDemand forecasting is essential primarily for planning. Although it is crucial in many sectors and issues, it has particular importance for electricity. Therefore, the issue of electricity consumption forecasting has recently become a prevalent topic. In light of the above, this study aimed to develop an appropriate model to estimate the long-term electricity consumption of Turkey. The study consists of three steps. In the first step, eight models were developed to separately investigate the effects of eight input variables frequently used in electricity consumption forecasting studies in the literature. In the second step of the study, two models consisting of input variables with high impact in the first step were developed, and the trained performances of the developed models were calculated by using the regression analysis. In the final step, the combined effect of eight variables on electricity consumption forecasting was investigated using regression analysis. It can be conclude that the model in the third step showed significant results, and the model performance was good. Finally, Turkey's electricity consumption forecast for the years 2020-2030 was performed using the model in the third step.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.56042/jsir.v81i12.40731
dc.identifier.endpage1341en_US
dc.identifier.issn0022-4456
dc.identifier.issn0975-1084
dc.identifier.issue12en_US
dc.identifier.startpage1336en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.56042/jsir.v81i12.40731
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12403/3858
dc.identifier.volume81en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000917265200010en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ4en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherNatl Inst Science Communication-Niscairen_US
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Scientific & Industrial Researchen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectDemand estimationen_US
dc.subjectElectricity demanden_US
dc.subjectForecastingen_US
dc.subjectRegression analysisen_US
dc.titleTurkey's Long-Term Electricity Consumption Forecasten_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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