CO2 Emissions Forecast Based on Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Consumption in Türkiye

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dc.contributor.authorCoşkun, Hüseyin
dc.contributor.authorEygu, Hakan
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-28T11:58:03Z
dc.date.available2026-02-28T11:58:03Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.departmentBayburt Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThis study aims to reveal the impact of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on CO2 emissions in Türkiye and the potential to reach the CO2 emission level targeted in the 2030 Paris Agreement. In the first stage, the cointegration relationship was analyzed with the AARDL model approach using annual data for 1965-2022. According to the results of the analysis, in the long run, non-renewable energy consumption increases CO2 emissions, while renewable energy consumption decreases CO2 emissions. In the second phase of the research, three scenarios were prepared for each of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption. For nine scenarios, including combinations of these scenarios, CO2 emissions that may occur until 2030 were estimated using the econometric simulation method. According to the estimation results, the low non-renewable energy consumption and high renewable energy consumption scenario was determined as the scenario that can reduce CO2 emissions the most until 2030. However, even in this case, it is understood that more investment in renewable energy will be required since the 2030 CO2 emission reduction target will not be achieved. Therefore, policymakers need to enact policies to increase incentives for renewable energy generation in both the public and private sectors and take steps to improve the necessary infrastructure.
dc.identifier.doi10.29216/ueip.1594788
dc.identifier.endpage19
dc.identifier.issn2587-2559
dc.identifier.issue1
dc.identifier.startpage1
dc.identifier.trdizinid1309532
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.29216/ueip.1594788
dc.identifier.urihttps://search.trdizin.gov.tr/tr/yayin/detay/1309532
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12403/5350
dc.identifier.volume9
dc.indekslendigikaynakTR-Dizin
dc.language.isoen
dc.relation.ispartofUluslararası Ekonomi, İşletme ve Politika Dergisi
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Ulusal Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_TR-Dizin_20260218
dc.subjectRenewable Energy
dc.subjectNon-Renewable Energy
dc.subjectCO2 Emissions
dc.subjectEconometric Simulation
dc.subjectAARDL Model
dc.titleCO2 Emissions Forecast Based on Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Consumption in Türkiye
dc.typeArticle

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